A Plan is Not a Strategy

A Strategy vs a Plan

Strategy

  • Coherent & Integrative: the choices made and actions executed are meant to bolster each other (they should be multiplicative) and are part of a larger design
  • It has a theory (or hypothesis): going after something no one else sees, or predicting trends and building to a need that doesn’t exist yet but should when you get there
  • Outcome focused
  • Uncomfortable: taking steps into an uncertain future
  • The chance to win

Plan

  • Disparate: choices made and actions executed are independent and do not add up to more than their sum (they are additive at best)
  • Not a theory: outcomes provable in advance
  • Cost / problem focused
  • Comfortable: short-term forecasting can be done with confidence
  • The chance to lose: while you’re planning, someone else is strategizing, and if they win, you’re stuck with whatever’s left-over (in a zero-sum game)

In this light, “Strategic Planning” is nonsensical / oxymoronic

A Strategy should be relatively short: it should fit on 1 page

  • Here’s the goal / the aspiration
  • Where we’re choosing to play
  • How we want to win
  • Capabilities we need to have in place
  • Management systems needed
  • Here’s the logic laid out
    • Assumptions: what needs to be true internally and externally for the strategy to succeed
  • Adjust the Strategy has new information comes in

These categories sound similar to the Business Model Canvas

Martin also presents strategy generation guidance in visual form as a cascade of iterative questions:

Strategy x Cynefin

What grabbed me was “strategy has a theory”, which when examined with the Cynefin lens, places Strategy squarely in the Complex domain. The Complex domain is where theories are tested by safe-to-fail trials, and the advice is: before you conduct a trial,

  • on success, how will you amplify on the next iteration?
  • on failure, how will you dampen the next iteration?

A Strategy provides guiding principles – In Cynefin language, guiding principles are called Enabling Constraints and they exist in the Complex domain.